Arsenal sit on 68 points, just two ahead of Newcastle’s 66, with Manchester City breathing down their necks in sixth on 65. With only two games left in the Premier League season, this is a high-stakes encounter that could decide Champions League qualification.
Newcastle have already beaten Arsenal three times this season—twice in the league and once in the League Cup semi-finals—without conceding a goal. Two of those wins were by more than one goal, giving Eddie Howe’s side confidence heading into this clash.
Why the Cards Market Appeals
After landing a 14/1 player card double last weekend, the cards market once again presents value—especially considering the referee and historical data.
Referee: Simon Hooper
- Hooper averages 4.70 cards per game (106 yellows and 2 reds in 23 matches)
- He is the second-highest card issuer among referees who have officiated 13+ games this season
- Hooper officiated the EFL Cup semi-final second leg between these sides and issued five cards
Recent H2H Discipline Record
- Across their three meetings this season, there have been 17 cards shown — an average of 5.67 per game
Recommended Player Card Picks
Valentino Livramento – To Be Shown A Card
- Will likely be matched up against Bukayo Saka, who is fouled 1.7 times per game
- Eight of Saka’s direct opponents have been booked in his last 15 Premier League starts
- Livramento was booked in the EFL Cup meeting at the Emirates in January
Anthony Gordon – To Be Shown A Card
- Also expected to track back and contain Saka defensively
- Has been booked twice against Arsenal in the last two seasons
- In a match refereed by Hooper earlier this season (Arsenal vs Crystal Palace), Marc Guehi, Saka’s direct opponent, was booked
Final Thoughts
This match has all the ingredients for a tense, high-stakes battle—form, rivalry, European qualification, and a card-happy referee. Backing Livramento and Gordon to be booked offers strong value given their roles and the matchup dynamics.